MED2050 project

MED2050 may be a project for the future, but we are already operating daily for our convictions.
Discover all the news not to be missed to stay informed of our actions.

Introduction

1. Since the end of the 1970s, the Mediterranean countries have decided to cooperate in order to « to provide the responsible authorities and planners of the various countries of the Mediterranean region with information that will enable them to draw up plans to ensure sustained optimal socio-economic development without causing environmental degradation » and « to help the governments of the coastal states of the Mediterranean region to deepen their knowledge of the common problems they have to face both in the Mediterranean Sea and in its coastal areas » (Intergovernmental meeting, UNEP/IG.5/7, 1977).

2. In this context and in the framework of the implementation of Article 4 of the Barcelona Convention and the Mediterranean Strategy for Sustainable Development (MSSD), the Regional Activity Centre/Plan Bleu (Plan Bleu) has been mandated to « carry out analyses and prospective studies to help forge visions of the future as an aid to the decision-making process » and « to disseminate the findings of this work in various forms and through appropriate channels, including the regular publication of state of the environment and development reports and environment and development outlooks for the Mediterranean region » (Decision IG.19/5, 2009).

3. To date, the Plan Bleu has coordinated and published two main prospective reports « The Plan Bleu : Futures of the Mediterranean Basin » (1989) and « Mediterranean – Plan Bleu perspectives on environment and development » (2005). These reports have served as a reference for the preparation of environmental and sustainable development policies in the Mediterranean, including the MSDD. They have supported regional, national and sectoral planning in a variety of areas and have been cited on numerous occasions. While they are now useful as references, decision-makers and experts continue to request Plan Bleu to obtain information from these reports, in the absence of work meeting the same objectives.

4. The World Food Programme (WFP) Medium Term Strategy (MTS) 2016-2021 reiterates the objective of « Delivering knowledge-based estimates of the Mediterranean environment and development scenarios to support the work of decision-makers and stakeholders » (Decision IG.22/1). In order to implement this decision, the Contracting Parties included in the WFP Work Program and Budget for 2016-2017 the development of a « Roadmap for the preparation of the MED 2050 Report », as a specific core activity 1.4.1.3 (Decision IG.22/20).

5. In order to prepare this roadmap, Plan Bleu organized an expert workshop (December 2016), conducted a benchmark study on the strengths, weaknesses and gaps of 35 recent foresight studies in the Mediterranean region, and consulted national representatives and experts. The draft MED 2050 roadmap was presented and discussed at the Plan Bleu Focal Points Meeting (April 2017), the 17th meeting MSDD meeting (July 2017), the WFP Focal Points Meeting (September 2017) and the 20th Ordinary Meeting of the Contracting Parties (COP 20, Tirana, Albania, December 2017). The Contracting Parties welcomed this roadmap, adopted its Phase I and requested the Secretariat (Plan Bleu) to present the progress of Phase I at COP 21 to enable them to provide guidance for Phase II (Decision IG.23/4). This involves the preparation of a revised roadmap for Phase II. This document achieves that goal.

MED 2050: a project for the future

Plan Bleu has been entrusted by the Contracting Parties to the Barcelona Convention and by its previous activities, to carry out a new prospective exercise on the environment and development in the Mediterranean on the Horizon 2050. This exercise follows on from the foresight reports « The Plan Bleu : the future of the Mediterranean basin » of 1989 and « Mediterranean – Plan Bleu perspectives on environment and development » of 2005. Since then, the Mediterranean context has evolved considerably since the last Mediterranean Action Plan (MAP) foresight exercise in 2005.

The MED 2050 project is part of a vision of a prosperous and peaceful Mediterranean region, where people enjoy a high quality of life and where development takes into account the carrying capacity limits of healthy ecosystems. Following preparatory activities, MED 2050 is part of a short, medium and long term dynamic to achieve a sustainable future :

  • Intermediate horizon 2030 corresponding to the objectives of the 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) of the2030 Agenda.
  • Horizon 2050 corresponding to long-term issues such as climate change, possible ruptures in ecosystems and their economic and social consequences (consequences on agriculture, fishing, lifestyles, migration, urbanization, energy policies, etc.), and to identify the necessary transitions.

The MED 2050 roadmap is organized around four main activity modules, each with its own specific utility and methodology :

  • Module 1 : building the prospective base – past and future trends, weak signals and ruptures, data sheets
  • Module 2 : compare and share contrasting visions for the Mediterranean by 2050 – with a focus on youth visions
  • Module 3 : Designing scenarios – exploring possible futures to inform resilience policy development
  • Module 4 : co-constructing transition paths – guiding decision making towards alternative narratives of the future

MED 2050 : participatory and consultative project

Consultation

Plan Bleu consulted various Mediterranean stakeholders to identify national experiences and expectations and interested parties to participate in the MED 2050 project or to support regional, sub-regional and national workshops. In Phase I of MED 2050, which is part of a participatory strategy, it was essential for the Blue Plan to mobilize existing resources and build a network of Mediterranean futures.

Participation

At the time of the adoption of WFP Phase II in 1995, it was stated that « public information and participation are essential dimensions of the policy of sustainable development and environmental protection ». Also, at the 17th meeting of the Mediterranean Commission on Sustainable Development (MSCD), held in Athens on July 4-6, 2017, it called for more attention to participatory approaches involving broader stakeholder consultations, including through electronic tools (web platforms), to supplement the involvement of national governments. MED 2050 will therefore rely on an innovative participation strategy to make the initiative open and collaborative.

This participatory ambition is greatly activated on the occasion of Module 2 allowing to compare and share contrasting visions for the Mediterranean by 2050, especially with the visions of young people.